Sunday, May 26, 2013

Inevitable But Not Necessarily Irreversible.

Inevitable But Not Necessarily Irreversible.

60-30-10. An Atenean Math wizard had figured that the results produced by the PCOS machines in major voting districts revealed this pattern: 60% of the votes were generated for administration’s senatorial slate, 30% for the UNA’s, and 10% for independent candidates. In figures, the last election registered 9 senators for the Liberal Party and 3 senators for the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA). Of course, the COMELEC would never admit this. The so-called similarities are purely coincidental, they say.

So far, nobody is trying to guess what’s next for the Senate. The replacement of Senator Juan Ponce Enrile seems inevitable as Senator Franklin Drilon has shown that he is delighted with the new majority’s consensus to make him the next Senate President. Once this is done, the Liberal Party would have the whole Congress in its wing.

Sadly, no prospect for meaningful legislations is evident in the coming three years. The Liberal Party and its allies may try to push for the passage of the controversial divorce bill before 2016. However, this is a double-edged sword which it should never pull out. The Party cannot rely on its newly elected Congresspersons to engage in a divisive and controversial political and social debate. Unless it can assure that its candidate in the coming 2016 Presidential election can win against VP Jejomar Binay, mass exodus from the Party is likely to happen anytime from now until the next election.

Alliances among political parties will break and shall be made more often than necessary before the 2016 elections. This is not difficult to foresee. After all, ours is not a party politics. The traditional political parties in the country are organized based on personalities and convenience. Party principles are usually the things for small parties as politicians in big parties shift loyalties based on whether certain political personalities or affiliations can guarantee continuing control over their positions.

On the other hand, the economy will continue to float but without expanding. This is not difficult to see, and accept. We have failed to create growth-producing industries. As such, the employments we have in the Philippines are always temporary and highly dependent on foreign capital. And despite this reality, government propagandists will continue with sloganeering to convince the poor that their lives are getting better.

            Few years ago, scientists around the world had agreed on the proposition that climate change is inevitable. Climate change is bound to happen because we have tampered with the environment. Well, it is inevitable—not necessarily irreversible—they said. Be that as it may, the problem is no longer within the confines of human decision only. Humanity has to confront climate change with the best ideas and the most decisive actions that it could have. And to overcome the effects of erratic weather changes, scientists have advised us to undertake certain fundamental adaptation and mitigation measures.

The Philippine affairs are like climate change as many things in our country seem inevitable also. In fact, our future is not difficult to predict. Things are bound to happen because we have tampered with our past. And just like the stated prescriptions for climate change, we will need the best ideas and the most decisive actions to survive what seems to be inevitable.


Indeed, our state of affairs is inevitable, but not necessarily irreversible.  

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